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PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 FC

PAOK vs Iraklis Thessaloniki 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

PAOK

2–1

Iraklis Thessaloniki

1.4Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances PAOK would usually take 1.8 points and Iraklis Thessaloniki 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: PAOK.

PAOK +1.2 pts vs chancesIraklis Thessaloniki −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

PAOK vs Iraklis Thessaloniki stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

PAOK

Iraklis Thessaloniki

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

62%

Possession

38%

The match between PAOK and Iraklis Thessaloniki ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a PAOK win with 69% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: PAOK – Asteras Tripolis prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

PAOK vs Iraklis Thessaloniki — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PAOK to win

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.4% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PAOK ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

PAOK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PAOK 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Iraklis Thessaloniki Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Iraklis Thessaloniki 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 87%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

PAOK vs Iraklis Thessaloniki 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for PAOK vs Iraklis Thessaloniki. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - Greece

PAOK2

Iraklis Thessaloniki1

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Super League - Greece

PAOK2

Iraklis Thessaloniki1

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

169%

X19%

211%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%	60%	40%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	14%	86%	40%	60%	66%	34%	84%	16%
	59%	41%	87%	13%	97%	3%	100%	0%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	40%	60%
	59%	41%	87%	13%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	66%	34%	84%	16%
	97%	3%	100%	0%

1st Half

157%

X34%

29%

1st Score

178%

X7%

215%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

52%

X-1

21%

X-X

10%

1-X

2-2

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.3%

2-0

13.3%

3-0

9.4%

2-1

9.0%

1-1

8.9%

0-0

6.8%

3-1

6.0%

0-1

4.3%

1-2

3.1%

2-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

PAOK vs Iraklis Thessaloniki — Recent Form

PAOK have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Iraklis Thessaloniki have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

PAOK

Iraklis Thessaloniki

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

PAOK

3/5

Iraklis Thessaloniki

1/3

Both Teams to Score

PAOK

2/5

Iraklis Thessaloniki

2/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PAOK

3/5

Iraklis Thessaloniki

2/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PAOK

3/5

Iraklis Thessaloniki

2/3

First Half Result

PAOK

0/5

Iraklis Thessaloniki

1/3

Correct Score

PAOK

0/5

Iraklis Thessaloniki

0/3

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: PAOK – Asteras Tripolis prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).