Leaky
0/10Zürich kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 19%).
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Zürich vs Luzern Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Wasteful
Luzern are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−3goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Luzern 38% to winZürich 36%
Zürich vs Luzern score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.7 goals in total, a little over the Super League average of 3.4.
goals expected
Zürich1.7
Luzern2.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Zürich vs Luzern: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Zürich vs Luzern — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Zürich to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 67%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 1,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 181 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Zürich ahead at half-time
Our model 37%Bookmakers 32%
Our track record
In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Zürich Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Zürich 0–1 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 1,850 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Luzern Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Luzern 0–1 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Zürich vs Luzern — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Zürich vs Luzern. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Zürich–
Luzern–Winner
1X 63%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Zürich–Luzern–Winner
1X 63%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Full Time
141%
X23%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 56% | 71% | 29% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 51% | 49% |
| 27% | 73% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
137%
X34%
229%
1st Score
153%
X4%
244%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
21%
X-1
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
4%
Correct Score
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
5.7%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Zürich vs Luzern: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Zürich: leaky
0/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Zürich vs Luzern: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Zürich: weak attack, weak defence (1.57 xG, 1.72 xGA a game)
- Luzern: good attack, weak defence (1.88 xG, 2.05 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Zürich vs Luzern form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- ZürichBookmakers: 36% to win today.+2.4
- LuzernBookmakers: 38% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−0.8
Last 5 matches
ZürichW
D
W
D
L
LuzernL
W
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Zürich 11th of 12 · Luzern 6th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Zürich vs Luzern: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Zürich and Luzern games more often than the Super League average (65%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 68%
Zürich9 of 10
Luzern8 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
Zürich9 of 10
Luzern7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 234 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Zürich vs Luzern corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameZürich score late
Zürich
Luzern
4.4
Corners won · league 5.1
5.4
5.2
Corners conceded · league 5.1
6.1
2.4
Cards · league 2.4
2.8
2.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.7
33%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
35%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
24%
36%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
36%
27%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
32%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Zürich3/5
Luzern3/5
Both Teams to Score
Zürich5/5
Luzern4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Zürich4/5
Luzern5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Zürich3/5
Luzern1/5
First Half Result
Zürich4/5
Luzern3/5
Correct Score
Zürich1/5
Luzern1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction