1. Young Boys vs St. Gallen

Young Boys vs St. Gallen Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Goal-fest alert

More goals than usual expected in Young Boys vs St. Gallen

3.9goals expected · Super League average 3.4

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 78%

Young Boys vs St. Gallen score prediction

Super League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.9 goals expected

3.9 goals in total: more goals than a typical Super League game (average 3.4).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Young Boys vs St. Gallen: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Young Boys vs St. Gallen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Boys to win

Our model 50%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 63%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 3,077 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 57%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 258 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Boys ahead at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Young Boys Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Boys 2+ goals

Our model 54%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

St. Gallen Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Gallen 0–1 goals

Our model 66%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 65–70%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Young Boys vs St. Gallen — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Young Boys vs St. Gallen. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Young BoysYoung Boys–
St. GallenSt. Gallen–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

150%
X24%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Young Boys20%80%46%54%
St. Gallen37%63%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Young Boys70%30%86%14%
St. Gallen86%14%95%5%

1st Half

140%
X36%
224%

1st Score

158%
X5%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-X

11%

X-2

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.4%

2-1

8.4%

1-0

8.0%

2-0

6.5%

2-2

6.4%

1-2

5.9%

3-1

5.7%

0-1

5.4%

0-0

5.1%

3-2

4.3%

3-0

4.0%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Young Boys vs St. Gallen: the stats that stand out

Super League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Young Boys: always on the scoresheet and fast starters

Always on the scoresheet
Young Boys0/10

Young Boys scored in all of their last 10 (league 19% fail to score).

Fast starters
Young Boys7/10

Young Boys scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Young Boys vs St. Gallen: attack vs defence

Super League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Young BoysYoung Boys: good attack, good defence (2.28 xG, 1.46 xGA a game)
  • St. GallenSt. Gallen: good attack, good defence (2.08 xG, 1.41 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Young Boys vs St. Gallen form and luck check

Super League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Young Boys
    Young BoysBookmakers: 53% to win today.Clinical · +7 goals
    +1.5
  • St. Gallen
    St. GallenBookmakers: 27% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals
    −3.0

Last 5 matches

Young BoysYoung Boys
W
W
D
D
W
2nd in table
St. GallenSt. Gallen
W
W
L
L
W
4th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Young Boys 1st of 12 · St. Gallen 4th of 12

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Young Boys vs St. Gallen: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Super League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Young Boys and St. Gallen games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Super League average (68%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 68%
Young Boys9 of 10
St. Gallen7 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
Young Boys8 of 10
St. Gallen6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 234 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Young Boys vs St. Gallen corners, cards and goal times

Super League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Super League average

Young Boys

St. Gallen

5.8

Corners won · league 5.1

7.4

3.6

Corners conceded · league 5.1

4.3

2.2

Cards · league 2.4

1.9

2.5

Opponents' cards · league 2.4

3.0

48%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

29%

12%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

24%

50%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

53%

22%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

5%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

St. GallenSt. Gallen
3/5
Young BoysYoung Boys
3/5

Both Teams to Score

St. GallenSt. Gallen
2/5
Young BoysYoung Boys
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

St. GallenSt. Gallen
3/5
Young BoysYoung Boys
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

St. GallenSt. Gallen
3/5
Young BoysYoung Boys
1/5

First Half Result

St. GallenSt. Gallen
2/5
Young BoysYoung Boys
2/5

Correct Score

St. GallenSt. Gallen
0/5
Young BoysYoung Boys
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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