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Thun vs Grasshopper 5-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 30)

Fair result
ThunThun

5–1

GrasshopperGrasshopper
2.0Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Thun would usually take 1.7 points and Grasshopper 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Thun.

Thun +1.3 pts vs chancesGrasshopper −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Thun vs Grasshopper stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Thun had more than twice the shots on target

Thun

Grasshopper

7

Shots on target

3

4

Big chances

2

8

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

2

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Thun and Grasshopper ended 5-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Thun win with 59% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Thun – Lugano prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Thun vs Grasshopper — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Thun to win

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,793 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,688 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Thun ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Thun Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Thun 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Grasshopper Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grasshopper 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Thun vs Grasshopper 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Thun vs Grasshopper. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Switzerland
ThunThun5
GrasshopperGrasshopper1

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

159%
X21%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Thun15%85%42%58%
Grasshopper43%57%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Thun68%32%86%14%
Grasshopper91%9%98%2%

1st Half

143%
X37%
219%

1st Score

163%
X5%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

10%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.2%

1-1

9.8%

1-0

9.6%

2-0

9.0%

3-1

6.6%

3-0

6.0%

2-2

5.4%

1-2

5.2%

0-1

4.8%

0-0

4.7%

3-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Thun – Lugano prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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