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Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Alanyaspor

1–2

Kocaelispor

1.0Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Alanyaspor would usually take 0.9 points and Kocaelispor 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Alanyaspor.

Alanyaspor −0.9 pts vs chancesKocaelispor +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor stats: how the match was played

Super Lig

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Alanyaspor

Kocaelispor

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Alanyaspor win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eyüpspor – Kocaelispor prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super Lig

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Alanyaspor to win

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,534 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.8% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Alanyaspor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Alanyaspor 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Kocaelispor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kocaelispor 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 75%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,570 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super Lig - Turkey

Alanyaspor1

Kocaelispor2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

Super Lig - Turkey

Alanyaspor1

Kocaelispor2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

148%

X27%

224%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	41%	59%	75%	25%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	41%	59%	75%	25%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

137%

X43%

220%

1st Score

157%

X9%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-X

18%

X-1

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

12.4%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

8.8%

0-0

8.8%

0-1

8.0%

1-2

6.1%

2-2

4.9%

3-1

4.5%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor — Recent Form

Kocaelispor have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Alanyaspor have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Kocaelispor

Alanyaspor

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Alanyaspor

2/5

Kocaelispor

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Alanyaspor

2/5

Kocaelispor

0/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Alanyaspor

1/5

Kocaelispor

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Alanyaspor

4/5

Kocaelispor

5/5

First Half Result

Alanyaspor

3/5

Kocaelispor

3/5

Correct Score

Alanyaspor

0/5

Kocaelispor

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eyüpspor – Kocaelispor prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).