1. Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe

Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fast starters

Göztepe scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).

7/10Scored first · Göztepe
Bookmakers: Göztepe 38% to winBB Erzurumspor 34%

BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe score prediction

Super Lig

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.7 goals in total, a little under the Super Lig average of 2.8.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super Lig

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

BB Erzurumspor to win

Our model 38%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,502 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.6% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,877 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 70%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 4,571 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 41%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,662 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

BB Erzurumspor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

BB Erzurumspor 0–1 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,443 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Göztepe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Göztepe 0–1 goals

Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor–
GöztepeGöztepe–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

138%
X27%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
BB Erzurumspor28%72%61%39%
Göztepe31%69%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
BB Erzurumspor84%16%94%6%
Göztepe85%15%95%5%

1st Half

134%
X41%
225%

1st Score

151%
X7%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

16%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

9.2%

0-1

8.4%

2-1

8.2%

1-2

8.0%

0-0

7.0%

2-0

6.2%

2-2

5.8%

0-2

5.4%

3-1

3.9%

1-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe: the stats that stand out

Super Lig

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Göztepe: fast starters and always on the scoresheet

Fast starters
Göztepe7/10

Göztepe scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Always on the scoresheet
Göztepe1/10

Göztepe failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe: attack vs defence

Super Lig

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Super Lig teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor: weak attack, good defence (1.03 xG, 1.44 xGA a game)
  • GöztepeGöztepe: good attack, weak defence (1.94 xG, 1.69 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe form and luck check

Super Lig

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super Lig games

Both results in line with their chances

  • BB Erzurumspor
    BB ErzurumsporBookmakers: 34% to win today.
    +3.7
  • Göztepe
    GöztepeBookmakers: 38% to win today.
    −1.5

Last 5 matches

GöztepeGöztepe
L
W
W
W
W
10th in table
BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor
L
L
W
W
D
12th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: BB Erzurumspor 15th of 18 · Göztepe 7th of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Super Lig

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super Lig gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Göztepe games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Super Lig average (57%), BB Erzurumspor games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 57%
BB Erzurumspor5 of 10
Göztepe8 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
BB Erzurumspor4 of 10
Göztepe7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 297 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

BB Erzurumspor vs Göztepe corners, cards and goal times

Super Lig

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.7
  • Cards: league 2.2
  • Goals before half-time: league 44%
  • Goals after 75': league 24%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

GöztepeGöztepe
2/5
BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor
2/5

Both Teams to Score

GöztepeGöztepe
1/5
BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

GöztepeGöztepe
2/5
BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

GöztepeGöztepe
4/5
BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor
3/5

First Half Result

GöztepeGöztepe
2/5
BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor
4/5

Correct Score

GöztepeGöztepe
0/5
BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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