Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
Super Lig - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)
Kocaelispor0–2
FenerbahçeOn these chances Kocaelispor would usually take 1.2 points and Fenerbahçe 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Fenerbahçe.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe stats: how the match was played
Super Lig
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Fenerbahçe had more than twice the shots on target
Kocaelispor
Fenerbahçe
1
Shots on target
5
0
Big chances
2
8
Corners
3
2
Yellow cards
3
59%
Possession
42%
Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,860 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,245 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Kocaelispor 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fenerbahçe 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 853 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Kocaelispor0
Fenerbahçe2Winner
2 54%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Kocaelispor0Fenerbahçe2Winner
2 54%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44% | 56% | 78% | 22% |
| 21% | 79% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
32%
X-2
17%
X-X
15%
1-1
12%
X-1
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.1%
1-2
10.1%
0-2
9.9%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score