İstanbul Başakşehir vs Göztepe 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Super Lig - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)
İstanbul Başakşehir won with less than half the chances
İstanbul Başakşehir2–1
GöztepeOn these chances İstanbul Başakşehir would usually take 0.3 points and Göztepe 2.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: İstanbul Başakşehir.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →İstanbul Başakşehir vs Göztepe stats: how the match was played
Super Lig
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Göztepe had more than twice the shots on target
İstanbul Başakşehir
Göztepe
4
Shots on target
9
1
Big chances
6
3
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
2
56%
Possession
44%
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Göztepe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
İstanbul Başakşehir to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,577 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,407 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,123 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,623 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
İstanbul Başakşehir 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Göztepe 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,324 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Göztepe 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Göztepe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
İstanbul Başakşehir2
Göztepe1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
İstanbul Başakşehir2Göztepe1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
| 37% | 63% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
15%
X-X
15%
2-2
15%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score