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Rizespor vs Antalyaspor 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super Lig - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
RizesporRizespor

1–0

AntalyasporAntalyaspor
2.3Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Rizespor would usually take 2.2 points and Antalyaspor 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Rizespor.

Rizespor +0.9 pts vs chancesAntalyaspor −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Rizespor vs Antalyaspor stats: how the match was played

Super Lig

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rizespor had clearly more shots on target

Rizespor

Antalyaspor

7

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

1

2

Corners

1

3

Yellow cards

1

45%

Possession

56%

The match between Rizespor and Antalyaspor ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Rizespor win with 55% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rizespor – Trabzonspor prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Rizespor vs Antalyaspor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super Lig

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rizespor to win

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,983 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rizespor ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,710 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Rizespor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rizespor 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Antalyaspor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Antalyaspor 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rizespor vs Antalyaspor 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rizespor vs Antalyaspor. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super Lig - Turkey
RizesporRizespor1
AntalyasporAntalyaspor0

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

155%
X23%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rizespor18%82%47%53%
Antalyaspor42%58%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rizespor74%26%90%10%
Antalyaspor91%9%98%2%

1st Half

142%
X40%
218%

1st Score

165%
X6%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

9%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

1-0

10.6%

2-1

10.3%

2-0

9.1%

0-0

5.9%

1-2

5.9%

0-1

5.8%

3-1

5.7%

3-0

5.6%

2-2

5.3%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rizespor – Trabzonspor prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

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