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Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super Lig - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
EyüpsporEyüpspor

0–1

KocaelisporKocaelispor
1.0Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Eyüpspor would usually take 1.1 points and Kocaelispor 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Kocaelispor.

Eyüpspor −1.1 pts vs chancesKocaelispor +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor stats: how the match was played

Super Lig

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Eyüpspor

Kocaelispor

3

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

2

3

Corners

3

4

Yellow cards

2

69%

Possession

32%

The match between Eyüpspor and Kocaelispor ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Kocaelispor win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eyüpspor – Kasımpaşa prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super Lig

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kocaelispor to win

Correct
Our model 38%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,153 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Eyüpspor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Eyüpspor 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Kocaelispor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kocaelispor 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super Lig - Turkey
EyüpsporEyüpspor0
KocaelisporKocaelispor1

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

135%
X27%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Eyüpspor32%68%66%34%
Kocaelispor30%70%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Eyüpspor87%13%96%4%
Kocaelispor86%14%95%5%

1st Half

125%
X43%
232%

1st Score

138%
X8%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

16%

X-X

16%

X-2

16%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

0-1

10.4%

1-0

9.7%

1-2

8.3%

0-0

8.2%

2-1

7.8%

0-2

6.4%

2-0

6.0%

2-2

5.1%

1-3

3.5%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eyüpspor – Kasımpaşa prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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