Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Super Lig - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)
Galatasaray3–0
İstanbul BaşakşehirOn these chances Galatasaray would usually take 2.2 points and İstanbul Başakşehir 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Galatasaray.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir stats: how the match was played
Super Lig
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Galatasaray had more than twice the shots on target
Galatasaray
İstanbul Başakşehir
6
Shots on target
3
5
Big chances
1
9
Corners
3
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
67%
Possession
34%
Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Galatasaray to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Galatasaray ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Galatasaray 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
İstanbul Başakşehir 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Galatasaray3
İstanbul Başakşehir0Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Galatasaray3İstanbul Başakşehir0Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 47% | 53% |
| 38% | 62% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score