Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Alanyaspor1–0
BeşiktaşOn these chances Alanyaspor would usually take 1.0 points and Beşiktaş 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Beşiktaş.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş stats: how the match was played
Super Lig
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Beşiktaş had more than twice the shots on target
Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş
3
Shots on target
6
1
Big chances
0
7
Corners
7
0
Yellow cards
0
35%
Possession
66%
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,849 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,571 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Alanyaspor 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,582 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Beşiktaş 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Alanyaspor1
Beşiktaş0Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Alanyaspor1Beşiktaş0Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 75% | 25% |
| 20% | 80% | 51% | 49% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
32%
X-X
15%
X-2
15%
1-1
13%
X-1
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score