Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Beşiktaş2–1
KocaelisporOn these chances Beşiktaş would usually take 1.9 points and Kocaelispor 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Beşiktaş.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor stats: how the match was played
Super Lig
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Beşiktaş
Kocaelispor
6
Shots on target
6
3
Big chances
4
4
Corners
7
1
Yellow cards
2
58%
Possession
42%
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş to win
CorrectOur track record
In 144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Kocaelispor 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.7% of the time (bookmakers said 88.5%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Beşiktaş2
Kocaelispor1Winner
1 75%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Beşiktaş2Kocaelispor1Winner
1 75%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 89% | 35% | 65% |
| 64% | 36% | 90% | 10% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 40% | 80% | 20% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
54%
X-1
21%
X-X
10%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor — Recent Form
Beşiktaş have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Kocaelispor have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Last 5 matches
BeşiktaşKocaelisporOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BeşiktaşKocaelisporBoth Teams to Score
BeşiktaşKocaelisporOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BeşiktaşKocaelisporOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BeşiktaşKocaelisporFirst Half Result
BeşiktaşKocaelisporCorrect Score
BeşiktaşKocaelispor