Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Beşiktaş are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor score prediction
Super Lig
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Beşiktaş expected to score more than twice as many as Kocaelispor
2.6 goals in total, a little under the Super Lig average of 2.8.
goals expected
Beşiktaş1.9
Kocaelispor0.8How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş to win
Our track record
In 320 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 295 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.1%).
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Kocaelispor 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 131 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.8% of the time (bookmakers said 88.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Beşiktaş–
Kocaelispor–Winner
1 75%
BTTS*
No 60%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Beşiktaş–Kocaelispor–Winner
1 75%
BTTS*
No 60%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 89% | 35% | 65% |
| 64% | 36% | 90% | 10% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61% | 39% | 80% | 20% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
53%
X-1
21%
X-X
10%
2-1
4%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
14.1%
1-0
13.6%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor: the stats that stand out
Super Lig
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Kocaelispor: shot-shy and always chasing
5/10
Shot-shyKocaelispor failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 27%).
7/10
Always chasingKocaelispor conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super Lig
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 in the Super LigBTTS = both teams scoredKocaelispor games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Super Lig average (55%), Beşiktaş games more often.
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 290 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor form and luck check
Super Lig
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4 points)outside the normal range← fewer points · more points →Beşiktaş are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
BeşiktaşUnluckyBeşiktaş got 5 points fewer than their chances usually bring.
Bookmakers: 77% to win today.
KocaelisporKocaelispor: results in line with their chances.
Bookmakers: 6% to win today.
Last 5 matches
KocaelisporBeşiktaşStrength rank: Beşiktaş 3rd of 18 · Kocaelispor 12th of 18
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor corners, cards and goal times
Super Lig
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameKocaelispor score late
Beşiktaş
Kocaelispor
6.6
Corners won · league 4.7
3.1
4.0
Corners conceded · league 4.7
5.0
2.1
Cards · league 2.3
1.8
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
1.8
47%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
38%
16%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
38%
55%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
50%
9%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
13%
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BeşiktaşKocaelisporBoth Teams to Score
BeşiktaşKocaelisporOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BeşiktaşKocaelisporOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BeşiktaşKocaelisporFirst Half Result
BeşiktaşKocaelisporCorrect Score
BeşiktaşKocaelispor