İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
More goals than usual expected in İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K.
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. score prediction
Super Lig
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected
3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical Super Lig game (average 2.8).
goals expected
İstanbul Başakşehir2.1
Gaziantep F.K.1.1How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K.. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
İstanbul Başakşehir–
Gaziantep F.K.–Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
İstanbul Başakşehir–Gaziantep F.K.–Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 47% | 53% |
| 36% | 64% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 88% | 12% |
| 88% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
16%
X-X
15%
2-2
15%
X-2
8%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K.: the stats that stand out
Super Lig
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Gaziantep F.K.: slow starters · İstanbul Başakşehir: banker as favourites and always on the scoresheet
2/10
Slow startersGaziantep F.K. scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
5/6
Banker as favouritesİstanbul Başakşehir won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 53%).
1/10
Always on the scoresheetİstanbul Başakşehir failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K.: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super Lig
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 in the Super LigBTTS = both teams scoredİstanbul Başakşehir games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Super Lig average (55%), Gaziantep F.K. games less often.
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 290 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. form and luck check
Super Lig
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4 points)outside the normal range← fewer points · more points →Both results in line with their chances
İstanbul Başakşehirİstanbul Başakşehir: results in line with their chances.
Gaziantep F.K.Gaziantep F.K.: results in line with their chances.
Last 5 matches
Gaziantep F.K.İstanbul BaşakşehirStrength rank: İstanbul Başakşehir 5th of 18 · Gaziantep F.K. 15th of 18
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. corners, cards and goal times
Super Lig
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameİstanbul Başakşehir score early
İstanbul Başakşehir
Gaziantep F.K.
3.9
Corners won · league 4.7
4.7
4.8
Corners conceded · league 4.7
4.2
2.5
Cards · league 2.3
2.2
2.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
1.9
60%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
44%
20%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
11%
27%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
50%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
25%
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
İstanbul BaşakşehirGaziantep F.K.Both Teams to Score
İstanbul BaşakşehirGaziantep F.K.Over/Under 2.5 Goals
İstanbul BaşakşehirGaziantep F.K.Over/Under 3.5 Goals
İstanbul BaşakşehirGaziantep F.K.First Half Result
İstanbul BaşakşehirGaziantep F.K.Correct Score
İstanbul BaşakşehirGaziantep F.K.