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İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K.

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

İstanbul Başakşehir

2–1

Gaziantep F.K.

1.6Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances İstanbul Başakşehir would usually take 1.7 points and Gaziantep F.K. 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: İstanbul Başakşehir.

İstanbul Başakşehir +1.4 pts vs chancesGaziantep F.K. −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. stats: how the match was played

Super Lig

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

İstanbul Başakşehir had clearly more shots on target

İstanbul Başakşehir

Gaziantep F.K.

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between İstanbul Başakşehir and Gaziantep F.K. ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a İstanbul Başakşehir win with 50% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Trabzonspor – Gaziantep F.K. prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super Lig

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

İstanbul Başakşehir to win

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

İstanbul Başakşehir ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

İstanbul Başakşehir Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

İstanbul Başakşehir 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Gaziantep F.K. Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gaziantep F.K. 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K.. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super Lig - Turkey

İstanbul Başakşehir2

Gaziantep F.K.1

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

· FT

Super Lig - Turkey

İstanbul Başakşehir2

Gaziantep F.K.1

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

150%

X24%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%	53%	47%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	53%	47%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	47%	53%	73%	27%	89%	11%
	36%	64%	67%	33%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	47%	53%
	36%	64%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	73%	27%	89%	11%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

140%

X38%

222%

1st Score

164%

X5%

231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

16%

X-X

14%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

2-1

9.7%

1-0

8.3%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

6.4%

0-1

5.6%

3-1

5.5%

0-0

4.8%

3-0

4.6%

3-2

3.9%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep F.K. — Recent Form

İstanbul Başakşehir have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Gaziantep F.K. have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

İstanbul Başakşehir

Gaziantep F.K.

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

İstanbul Başakşehir

4/5

Gaziantep F.K.

3/5

Both Teams to Score

İstanbul Başakşehir

1/5

Gaziantep F.K.

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

İstanbul Başakşehir

3/5

Gaziantep F.K.

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

İstanbul Başakşehir

3/5

Gaziantep F.K.

4/5

First Half Result

İstanbul Başakşehir

3/5

Gaziantep F.K.

3/5

Correct Score

İstanbul Başakşehir

0/5

Gaziantep F.K.

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Trabzonspor – Gaziantep F.K. prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).