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Bačka Topola vs Partizan 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 12)

Fair result
Bačka TopolaBačka Topola

0–1

PartizanPartizan
2.0Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Bačka Topola would usually take 1.7 points and Partizan 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Partizan.

Bačka Topola −1.7 pts vs chancesPartizan +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bačka Topola vs Partizan stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Bačka Topola

Partizan

5

Shots on target

6

3

Big chances

0

4

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

1

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Bačka Topola and Partizan ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Partizan win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Partizan – Zemun prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Bačka Topola vs Partizan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan to win

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,112 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 2,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Partizan ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Bačka Topola Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bačka Topola 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Partizan Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Partizan 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 857 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bačka Topola vs Partizan 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bačka Topola vs Partizan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Superliga - Serbia
Bačka TopolaBačka Topola0
PartizanPartizan1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

132%
X24%
244%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bačka Topola30%70%62%38%
Partizan22%78%52%48%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bačka Topola84%16%95%5%
Partizan77%23%91%9%

1st Half

127%
X43%
230%

1st Score

143%
X5%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

1-1

18%

X-2

16%

X-X

14%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

1-2

9.8%

2-1

7.6%

0-1

7.4%

2-2

6.7%

1-0

6.2%

0-2

5.9%

1-3

5.0%

0-0

4.7%

2-0

4.2%

2-3

3.9%

3-1

3.8%

0-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Partizan – Zemun prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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