Mačva Šabac vs Partizan 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Mačva Šabac1–3
PartizanOn these chances Mačva Šabac would usually take 1.0 points and Partizan 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Partizan.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Mačva Šabac vs Partizan stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Partizan had more than twice the shots on target
Mačva Šabac
Partizan
2
Shots on target
6
1
Big chances
3
4
Corners
3
6
Yellow cards
4
1
Red cards
1
36%
Possession
64%
Mačva Šabac vs Partizan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Partizan to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,603 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 803 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Partizan ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Mačva Šabac 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Partizan 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Partizan 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 371 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Mačva Šabac vs Partizan 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mačva Šabac vs Partizan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Mačva Šabac1
Partizan3Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Mačva Šabac1Partizan3Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| 29% | 71% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
X-X
18%
1-1
17%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score