1. Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica

Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Smash-and-grab

Vojvodina won with fewer chances than Radnik Surdulica

VojvodinaVojvodina

2–1

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica
1.3Chances (xG)2.4

On these chances Vojvodina would usually take 0.8 points and Radnik Surdulica 2.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Vojvodina.

Vojvodina +2.2 pts vs chancesRadnik Surdulica −2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Radnik Surdulica had clearly more shots on target

Vojvodina

Radnik Surdulica

5

Shots on target

7

1

Big chances

3

8

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

3

56%

Possession

45%

The match between Vojvodina and Radnik Surdulica ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Vojvodina win with 55% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: OFK Beograd – Vojvodina prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vojvodina to win

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 803 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Vojvodina ahead at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Vojvodina Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vojvodina 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Vojvodina 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,871 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Radnik Surdulica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radnik Surdulica 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
VojvodinaVojvodina2
Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica1

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

155%
X25%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vojvodina21%79%54%46%
Radnik Surdulica47%53%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vojvodina79%21%92%8%
Radnik Surdulica95%5%99%1%

1st Half

139%
X44%
217%

1st Score

161%
X9%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

19%

X-X

17%

2-2

10%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.2%

1-1

11.6%

2-0

10.6%

2-1

9.7%

0-0

9.3%

0-1

7.0%

3-0

5.5%

1-2

5.2%

3-1

4.7%

2-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: OFK Beograd – Vojvodina prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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