1. Radnički Niš vs Partizan

Radnički Niš vs Partizan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Unlucky

Partizan are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−9points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Partizan 54% to winRadnički Niš 22%

Radnički Niš vs Partizan score prediction

Superliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.8 goals in total, a little over the Superliga average of 2.6.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Radnički Niš vs Partizan: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Radnički Niš vs Partizan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Radnički Niš Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radnički Niš 0–1 goals

Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Partizan Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan 0–1 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 648 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Radnički Niš vs Partizan — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Radnički Niš vs Partizan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Radnički NišRadnički Niš–
PartizanPartizan–

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

128%
X26%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Radnički Niš36%64%70%30%
Partizan24%76%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Radnički Niš90%10%97%3%
Partizan81%19%93%7%

1st Half

124%
X43%
233%

1st Score

141%
X7%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-2

17%

1-1

16%

X-X

15%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

0-1

10.5%

1-2

10.3%

1-0

7.5%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.1%

0-0

7.0%

2-2

5.6%

2-0

4.5%

1-3

4.5%

0-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Radnički Niš vs Partizan: the stats that stand out

Superliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Radnički Niš: shot-shy · Partizan: flop as favourites and leaky

Shot-shy
Radnički Niš6/10

Radnički Niš failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 32%).

Flop as favourites
Partizan2/8

Partizan won only 2 of 8 as favourites (league 52%).

Leaky
Partizan1/10

Partizan kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 32%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Radnički Niš vs Partizan: attack vs defence

Superliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Radnički NišRadnički Niš: weak attack, weak defence (1.28 xG, 1.76 xGA a game)
  • PartizanPartizan: good attack, good defence (1.60 xG, 1.31 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Radnički Niš vs Partizan form and luck check

Superliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga games

Partizan are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • Radnički Niš
    Radnički NišBookmakers: 22% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals
    −2.6
  • Partizan
    PartizanBookmakers: 54% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals
    −9.0

Last 5 matches

PartizanPartizan
L
L
W
D
L
10th in table
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
L
L
L
L
W
13th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Radnički Niš 11th of 14 · Partizan 3rd of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Radnički Niš vs Partizan: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Superliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Radnički Niš games less often than the Superliga average (48%), in Partizan games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Radnički Niš4 of 10
Partizan6 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Radnički Niš3 of 10
Partizan6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 284 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Radnički Niš vs Partizan corners, cards and goal times

Superliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.4
  • Cards: league 2.4
  • Goals before half-time: league 45%
  • Goals after 75': league 21%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

PartizanPartizan
2/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
4/5

Both Teams to Score

PartizanPartizan
2/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PartizanPartizan
1/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PartizanPartizan
3/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
3/5

First Half Result

PartizanPartizan
0/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
1/5

Correct Score

PartizanPartizan
0/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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