Železničar Pančevo vs Čukarički 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Železničar Pančevo2–1
ČukaričkiOn these chances Železničar Pančevo would usually take 2.2 points and Čukarički 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Železničar Pančevo.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Železničar Pančevo vs Čukarički stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Železničar Pančevo had clearly more shots on target
Železničar Pančevo
Čukarički
3
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
1
8
Corners
0
3
Yellow cards
5
76%
Possession
24%
Železničar Pančevo vs Čukarički — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Železničar Pančevo to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Železničar Pančevo 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Železničar Pančevo 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Čukarički 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,578 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Železničar Pančevo vs Čukarički 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Železničar Pančevo vs Čukarički. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Železničar Pančevo2
Čukarički1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Železničar Pančevo2Čukarički1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 55% | 45% |
| 41% | 60% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
13%
X-2
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score