OFK Beograd vs Radnički Kragujevac 3-5 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
OFK Beograd3–5
Radnički KragujevacOn these chances OFK Beograd would usually take 1.1 points and Radnički Kragujevac 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: OFK Beograd.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →OFK Beograd vs Radnički Kragujevac stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
OFK Beograd
Radnički Kragujevac
6
Shots on target
7
3
Big chances
6
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
3
53%
Possession
47%
OFK Beograd vs Radnički Kragujevac — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Radnički Kragujevac to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: OFK Beograd to win.
Our track record
In 1,536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,363 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,295 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
OFK Beograd 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Radnički Kragujevac 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,317 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
OFK Beograd vs Radnički Kragujevac 3-5 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for OFK Beograd vs Radnički Kragujevac. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
OFK Beograd3
Radnički Kragujevac5Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
OFK Beograd3Radnički Kragujevac5Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
| 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
20%
1-1
19%
X-X
19%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
0-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score