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Radnički Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac

0–3

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
1.0Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Radnički Kragujevac would usually take 1.0 points and Crvena Zvezda 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Crvena Zvezda.

Radnički Kragujevac −1.0 pts vs chancesCrvena Zvezda +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Radnički Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Crvena Zvezda had more than twice the shots on target

Radnički Kragujevac

Crvena Zvezda

1

Shots on target

7

1

Big chances

4

4

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

2

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Radnički Kragujevac and Crvena Zvezda ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Crvena Zvezda win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Radnički Kragujevac – Radnik Surdulica prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Radnički Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda to win

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Radnički Kragujevac Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radnički Kragujevac 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Crvena Zvezda Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Crvena Zvezda 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Radnički Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Radnički Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Superliga - Serbia
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac0
Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda3

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

127%
X28%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Radnički Kragujevac36%64%70%30%
Crvena Zvezda24%76%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Radnički Kragujevac90%10%97%3%
Crvena Zvezda79%21%93%7%

1st Half

122%
X47%
231%

1st Score

143%
X8%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

X-X

19%

1-1

15%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

0-1

9.6%

1-2

9.5%

0-0

7.9%

1-0

7.2%

0-2

7.2%

2-1

6.8%

2-2

5.8%

1-3

4.5%

0-3

4.3%

2-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Radnički Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda — Recent Form

Crvena Zvezda have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Radnički Kragujevac have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
W
W
W
W
W
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac
L
L
W
W
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
5/5
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac
4/5

Both Teams to Score

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
2/5
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
3/5
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
4/5
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac
3/5

First Half Result

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
5/5
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac
4/5

Correct Score

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
1/5
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Radnički Kragujevac – Radnik Surdulica prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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