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IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

IMT Novi Beograd

1–0

Radnik Surdulica

1.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances IMT Novi Beograd would usually take 1.9 points and Radnik Surdulica 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: IMT Novi Beograd.

IMT Novi Beograd +1.1 pts vs chancesRadnik Surdulica −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

IMT Novi Beograd had more than twice the shots on target

IMT Novi Beograd

Radnik Surdulica

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

40%

Possession

60%

The match between IMT Novi Beograd and Radnik Surdulica ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a IMT Novi Beograd win with 43% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Novi Pazar – IMT Novi Beograd prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

IMT Novi Beograd to win

Correct

Our model 43%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 81%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

IMT Novi Beograd Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Radnik Surdulica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radnik Surdulica 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Superliga - Serbia

IMT Novi Beograd1

Radnik Surdulica0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

· FT

Superliga - Serbia

IMT Novi Beograd1

Radnik Surdulica0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

143%

X30%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	36%	64%	63%	37%	71%	29%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	36%	64%	63%	37%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	71%	29%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	65%	35%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	41%	59%	76%	24%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	65%	35%
	41%	59%	76%	24%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

131%

X45%

225%

1st Score

153%

X11%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

19%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-0

13.9%

1-1

13.6%

0-0

10.9%

0-1

10.7%

2-0

8.6%

2-1

8.3%

1-2

5.9%

0-2

4.8%

2-2

4.3%

3-1

3.3%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica — Recent Form

IMT Novi Beograd have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Radnik Surdulica have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

IMT Novi Beograd

Radnik Surdulica

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

IMT Novi Beograd

3/5

Radnik Surdulica

2/5

Both Teams to Score

IMT Novi Beograd

3/5

Radnik Surdulica

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

IMT Novi Beograd

4/5

Radnik Surdulica

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

IMT Novi Beograd

5/5

Radnik Surdulica

4/5

First Half Result

IMT Novi Beograd

1/5

Radnik Surdulica

1/5

Correct Score

IMT Novi Beograd

3/5

Radnik Surdulica

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Novi Pazar – IMT Novi Beograd prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).