Spartak Trnava vs Banská Bystrica 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Niké Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)
Spartak Trnava3–0
Banská BystricaOn these chances Spartak Trnava would usually take 2.2 points and Banská Bystrica 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Spartak Trnava.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Spartak Trnava vs Banská Bystrica stats: how the match was played
Niké Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Spartak Trnava had more than twice the shots on target
Spartak Trnava
Banská Bystrica
10
Shots on target
5
6
Big chances
1
8
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
1
62%
Possession
38%
Spartak Trnava vs Banská Bystrica — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Niké Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Spartak Trnava to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
In 536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,966 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Spartak Trnava ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Spartak Trnava 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Banská Bystrica 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Spartak Trnava vs Banská Bystrica 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Spartak Trnava vs Banská Bystrica. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Spartak Trnava3
Banská Bystrica0Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Spartak Trnava3Banská Bystrica0Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 49% | 51% |
| 39% | 61% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
17%
X-X
15%
2-2
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-1
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score