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Žilina vs Skalica 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Niké Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Smash-and-grab

Skalica won with less than half the chances

ŽilinaŽilina

1–3

SkalicaSkalica
3.0Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Žilina would usually take 2.5 points and Skalica 0.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Žilina.

Žilina −2.5 pts vs chancesSkalica +2.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Žilina vs Skalica stats: how the match was played

Niké Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Žilina had clearly more shots on target

Žilina

Skalica

6

Shots on target

4

5

Big chances

1

8

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

3

72%

Possession

28%

The match between Žilina and Skalica ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Žilina win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Žilina – Zemplín Michalovce prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Žilina vs Skalica — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Niké Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Žilina to win

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,149 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,966 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Žilina ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Žilina Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Žilina 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Žilina 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,871 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Skalica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Skalica 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Žilina vs Skalica 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Žilina vs Skalica. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Niké Liga - Slovakia
ŽilinaŽilina1
SkalicaSkalica3

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

151%
X25%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Žilina21%79%51%49%
Skalica39%61%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Žilina77%23%91%9%
Skalica91%9%97%3%

1st Half

139%
X40%
221%

1st Score

159%
X7%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

17%

X-X

15%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

10.5%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.6%

0-0

6.6%

0-1

6.5%

1-2

6.1%

2-2

5.6%

3-1

5.2%

3-0

4.2%

0-2

3.7%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Žilina – Zemplín Michalovce prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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