Flop as favourites
1/6Talleres Córdoba won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 43%).
Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Unlucky
Talleres Córdoba are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Talleres Córdoba 42% to winIndependiente 27%
Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente score prediction
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.2 goals in total, a little over the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average of 2.1.
goals expected
Talleres Córdoba1.1
Independiente1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Independiente to win
Our model 40%Bookmakers 27%
Our track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 53%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,067 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,030 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 4,441 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 49%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 4,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Talleres Córdoba Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Talleres Córdoba 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Independiente Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Independiente 0–1 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 2,614 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Talleres Córdoba–
Independiente–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Talleres Córdoba–Independiente–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
133%
X27%
240%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| 29% | 71% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
125%
X48%
226%
1st Score
146%
X8%
246%
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
20%
2-2
18%
1-1
17%
X-2
16%
X-1
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente: the stats that stand out
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Talleres Córdoba: flop as favourites
1/6Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente: attack vs defence
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Talleres Córdoba: good attack, weak defence (1.58 xG, 1.92 xGA a game)
- Independiente: weak attack, good defence (1.26 xG, 1.26 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente form and luck check
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesTalleres Córdoba are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Talleres CórdobaBookmakers: 42% to win today.−4.3
- IndependienteBookmakers: 27% to win today.−0.5
Last 5 matches
IndependienteL
W
D
W
L
Talleres CórdobaL
L
W
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Talleres Córdoba 18th of 30 · Independiente 13th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scoredTalleres Córdoba and Independiente games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (36%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 36%
Talleres Córdoba7 of 10
Independiente4 of 10
BTTSleague 45%
Talleres Córdoba5 of 10
Independiente4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 515 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Talleres Córdoba vs Independiente corners, cards and goal times
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average
Talleres Córdoba
Independiente
4.4
Corners won · league 4.4
6.2
5.5
Corners conceded · league 4.4
5.4
2.8
Cards · league 2.6
2.3
2.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.6
2.3
36%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
44%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
11%
18%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
17%
41%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
8%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Talleres Córdoba3/5
Independiente1/5
Both Teams to Score
Talleres Córdoba2/5
Independiente2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Talleres Córdoba3/5
Independiente2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Talleres Córdoba4/5
Independiente4/5
First Half Result
Talleres Córdoba4/5
Independiente3/5
Correct Score
Talleres Córdoba0/5
Independiente0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction