Always on the scoresheet
0/10Vélez Sarsfield scored in all of their last 10 (league 34% fail to score).
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 13)
Riding their luck
Vélez Sarsfield are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Vélez Sarsfield 50% to winGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 20%
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza score prediction
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Vélez Sarsfield expected to create clearly more
2.3 goals in total, a little over the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average of 2.1.
goals expected
Vélez Sarsfield1.4
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Vélez Sarsfield to win
Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 2,431 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,033 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 3,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 4,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Vélez Sarsfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Vélez Sarsfield 0–1 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,726 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0–1 goals
Our model 79%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 2,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Vélez Sarsfield–
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Vélez Sarsfield–Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
153%
X25%
222%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 54% | 46% |
| 45% | 56% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
135%
X47%
218%
1st Score
156%
X9%
235%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
19%
X-1
18%
2-2
11%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: the stats that stand out
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Vélez Sarsfield: always on the scoresheet and fast starters
0/10Fast starters
7/10Vélez Sarsfield scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: attack vs defence
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Vélez Sarsfield: weak attack, weak defence (1.22 xG, 1.49 xGA a game)
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: good attack, weak defence (1.45 xG, 1.54 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza form and luck check
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesVélez Sarsfield are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Vélez SarsfieldBookmakers: 50% to win today.Clinical · +6 goals+5.9
- Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaBookmakers: 20% to win today.+1.9
Last 5 matches
Vélez SarsfieldD
W
D
W
D
Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaL
D
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Vélez Sarsfield 11th of 30 · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 22nd of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Vélez Sarsfield games more often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (45%), in Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 36%
Vélez Sarsfield4 of 10
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza5 of 10
BTTSleague 45%
Vélez Sarsfield8 of 10
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 515 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza corners, cards and goal times
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza score early
Vélez Sarsfield
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
4.2
Corners won · league 4.4
4.9
5.1
Corners conceded · league 4.4
4.6
1.6
Cards · league 2.6
3.0
2.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.6
1.7
44%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
54%
31%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
15%
45%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
25%
36%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
50%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Vélez Sarsfield3/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza2/5
Both Teams to Score
Vélez Sarsfield1/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Vélez Sarsfield3/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Vélez Sarsfield3/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza4/5
First Half Result
Vélez Sarsfield2/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza2/5
Correct Score
Vélez Sarsfield0/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction