Horsens vs SønderjyskE 5-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Horsens5–1
SønderjyskEOn these chances Horsens would usually take 1.6 points and SønderjyskE 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Horsens.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Horsens vs SønderjyskE stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Horsens
SønderjyskE
7
Shots on target
6
6
Big chances
1
2
Corners
4
3
Yellow cards
1
47%
Possession
53%
Horsens vs SønderjyskE — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Horsens to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Horsens 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
SønderjyskE 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Horsens vs SønderjyskE 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Horsens vs SønderjyskE. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Horsens5
SønderjyskE1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Horsens5SønderjyskE1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 34% | 66% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Horsens vs SønderjyskE — Recent Form
SønderjyskE have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Horsens have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
Last 5 matches
SønderjyskEHorsensOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
HorsensSønderjyskEBoth Teams to Score
HorsensSønderjyskEOver/Under 2.5 Goals
HorsensSønderjyskEOver/Under 3.5 Goals
HorsensSønderjyskEFirst Half Result
HorsensSønderjyskECorrect Score
HorsensSønderjyskE