Randers vs AGF 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Randers2–1
AGFOn these chances Randers would usually take 1.1 points and AGF 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: AGF.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Randers vs AGF stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Randers
AGF
5
Shots on target
6
3
Big chances
1
1
Corners
5
3
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
41%
Possession
59%
Randers vs AGF — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Randers to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: AGF to win.
Our track record
In 1,071 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 29.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,993 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.9% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Randers 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,485 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
AGF 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: AGF 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 388 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Randers vs AGF 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Randers vs AGF. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Randers2
AGF1Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Randers2AGF1Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 31% | 69% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
18%
X-1
15%
X-X
15%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score