Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Midtjylland2–2
NordsjællandOn these chances Midtjylland would usually take 1.8 points and Nordsjælland 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Midtjylland.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Midtjylland had clearly more shots on target
Midtjylland
Nordsjælland
6
Shots on target
4
4
Big chances
2
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
0
48%
Possession
52%
Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Midtjylland to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Midtjylland ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Midtjylland 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Nordsjælland 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Midtjylland2
Nordsjælland2Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Midtjylland2Nordsjælland2Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 46% | 54% |
| 39% | 61% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
2-1
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score