SønderjyskE vs Randers 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result
SønderjyskESønderjyskE

4–2

RandersRanders
1.4Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances SønderjyskE would usually take 1.3 points and Randers 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Randers.

SønderjyskE +1.8 pts vs chancesRanders −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SønderjyskE vs Randers stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Level on shots on target

SønderjyskE

Randers

7

Shots on target

6

3

Big chances

3

4

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

0

39%

Possession

61%

The match between SønderjyskE and Randers ended 4-2. Our AI model predicted an Randers win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Randers – Viborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

SønderjyskE vs Randers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Randers to win

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Randers ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 2,132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.

SønderjyskE Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SønderjyskE 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,625 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Randers Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Randers 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Randers 0–1 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 810 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SønderjyskE vs Randers 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SønderjyskE vs Randers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
SønderjyskESønderjyskE4
RandersRanders2

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

127%
X25%
248%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
SønderjyskE37%63%69%31%
Randers21%79%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
SønderjyskE88%12%96%4%
Randers76%25%90%10%

1st Half

122%
X37%
241%

1st Score

139%
X6%
256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

35%

X-2

16%

1-1

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

1-2

9.2%

0-1

8.8%

0-2

7.8%

1-0

6.5%

2-1

6.5%

2-2

6.2%

0-0

5.8%

1-3

5.2%

0-3

4.5%

2-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

SønderjyskE vs Randers — Recent Form

Randers have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. SønderjyskE have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

RandersRanders
L
L
W
W
L
SønderjyskESønderjyskE
W
D
L
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

SønderjyskESønderjyskE
3/5
RandersRanders
2/5

Both Teams to Score

SønderjyskESønderjyskE
4/5
RandersRanders
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

SønderjyskESønderjyskE
4/5
RandersRanders
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

SønderjyskESønderjyskE
2/5
RandersRanders
4/5

First Half Result

SønderjyskESønderjyskE
3/5
RandersRanders
1/5

Correct Score

SønderjyskESønderjyskE
1/5
RandersRanders
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Randers – Viborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

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