Hard to break
0/10Universitatea Craiova haven't conceded first in any of their last 10 (league 46%).
UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 16)
Hard to break
Universitatea Craiova haven't conceded first in any of their last 10 (league 46%).
0/10Conceded first · Universitatea Craiova
Bookmakers: Universitatea Craiova 49% to winUTA Arad 23%
UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova score prediction
Superliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.4 goals in total, a little under the Superliga average of 2.5.
goals expected
UTA Arad1.0Universitatea Craiova1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Universitatea Craiova to win
Our model 50%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
UTA Arad–
Universitatea Craiova–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
UTA Arad–Universitatea Craiova–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
124%
X26%
250%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 74% | 26% |
| 22% | 78% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 79% | 21% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
120%
X42%
238%
1st Score
134%
X8%
258%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
X-X
17%
X-2
17%
1-1
12%
X-1
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova: the stats that stand out
Superliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Universitatea Craiova: hard to break, brick wall and banker as favourites
0/10Brick wall
7/10Universitatea Craiova kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 29%).
Banker as favourites
8/10Universitatea Craiova won 8 of 10 as favourites (league 57%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova: attack vs defence
Superliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- UTA Arad: good attack, good defence (1.73 xG, 1.47 xGA a game)
- Universitatea Craiova: good attack, good defence (2.28 xG, 0.86 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova form and luck check
Superliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- UTA AradBookmakers: 23% to win today.+0.2
- Universitatea CraiovaBookmakers: 49% to win today.+2.2
Last 5 matches
Universitatea CraiovaD
W
W
W
W
UTA AradL
L
W
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: UTA Arad 6th of 16 · Universitatea Craiova 1st of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Superliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in UTA Arad and Universitatea Craiova games less often than the Superliga average (49%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 46%
UTA Arad3 of 10
Universitatea Craiova5 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
UTA Arad3 of 10
Universitatea Craiova3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 309 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova corners, cards and goal times
Superliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.7
- Cards: league 2.2
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Universitatea Craiova4/5
UTA Arad3/5
Both Teams to Score
Universitatea Craiova3/5
UTA Arad2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Universitatea Craiova2/5
UTA Arad3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Universitatea Craiova4/5
UTA Arad5/5
First Half Result
Universitatea Craiova3/5
UTA Arad2/5
Correct Score
Universitatea Craiova1/5
UTA Arad0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction