FCSB vs Botoşani 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)
2–1
On these chances FCSB would usually take 2.5 points and Botoşani 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FCSB.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FCSB vs Botoşani stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FCSB had more than twice the shots on target
FCSB
Botoşani
14
Shots on target
3
5
Big chances
2
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
4
56%
Possession
44%
FCSB vs Botoşani — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FCSB to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FCSB ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
FCSB 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FCSB 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Botoşani 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FCSB vs Botoşani 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FCSB vs Botoşani. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% | |
| 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% | |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
2-2
15%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score