1. FCSB vs Botoşani

FCSB vs Botoşani 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
FCSBFCSB

2–1

BotoşaniBotoşani
3.1Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances FCSB would usually take 2.5 points and Botoşani 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FCSB.

FCSB +0.5 pts vs chancesBotoşani −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FCSB vs Botoşani stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

FCSB had more than twice the shots on target

FCSB

Botoşani

14

Shots on target

3

5

Big chances

2

6

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

4

56%

Possession

44%

The match between FCSB and Botoşani ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a FCSB win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Botoşani – Petrolul 52 prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

FCSB vs Botoşani — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FCSB to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FCSB ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

FCSB Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FCSB 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FCSB 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.

Botoşani Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Botoşani 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FCSB vs Botoşani 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FCSB vs Botoşani. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
FCSBFCSB2
BotoşaniBotoşani1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

147%
X25%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
FCSB25%75%58%42%
Botoşani38%62%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FCSB83%17%94%6%
Botoşani91%9%98%2%

1st Half

135%
X42%
222%

1st Score

152%
X8%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-X

16%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.0%

1-1

11.8%

2-1

9.5%

0-1

8.4%

2-0

8.3%

0-0

7.8%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

4.9%

0-2

4.3%

3-1

4.2%

3-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Botoşani – Petrolul 52 prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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