Estonia vs Slovakia 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2024/2025 League C (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Estonia vs Slovakia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Slovakia to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,238 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,907 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Slovakia ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,086 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Estonia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 811 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.8%).
Our model’s pick
Slovakia 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Slovakia 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 540 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Estonia vs Slovakia 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Estonia vs Slovakia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Estonia0
Slovakia1Winner
2 51%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Estonia0Slovakia1Winner
2 51%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 44% | 56% | 76% | 24% |
 | 23% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
18%
X-X
16%
X-2
15%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score