Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League D (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Azerbaijan to win
Our track record
In 134 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.3% of the time (bookmakers said 81.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 2,033 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Azerbaijan ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.6%).
Our model’s pick
Azerbaijan 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Our model’s pick
Liechtenstein 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 577 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.4% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Azerbaijan–
Liechtenstein–Winner
1 75%
BTTS**
No 62%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Azerbaijan–Liechtenstein–Winner
1 75%
BTTS**
No 62%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12% | 88% | 35% | 65% |
 | 66% | 34% | 90% | 10% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 42% | 76% | 24% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
62%
X-1
17%
X-X
8%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-2
3%
1-X
2%
2-X
2%
1-2
0%
Correct Score
2-0
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
3-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LiechtensteinAzerbaijanBoth Teams to Score
LiechtensteinAzerbaijanOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LiechtensteinAzerbaijanOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LiechtensteinAzerbaijanFirst Half Result
LiechtensteinAzerbaijanCorrect Score
LiechtensteinAzerbaijan