Wales vs Norway Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Wales vs Norway — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Norway to win
Our track record
In 3,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,074 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,909 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,018 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Wales 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Our model’s pick
Norway 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 541 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Wales vs Norway — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wales vs Norway. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Wales–
Norway–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Wales–Norway–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 36% | 64% | 66% | 34% |
 | 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
1-1
22%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.4%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wales vs Norway — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NorwayWalesBoth Teams to Score
NorwayWalesOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NorwayWalesOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NorwayWalesFirst Half Result
NorwayWalesCorrect Score
NorwayWales