Denmark vs Portugal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Denmark vs Portugal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Denmark to win
Our track record
In 1,398 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.4% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,264 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Denmark 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,093 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Portugal 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Denmark vs Portugal — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Denmark vs Portugal. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Denmark–
Portugal–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Denmark–Portugal–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 59% | 41% |
 | 29% | 71% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
18%
X-1
16%
X-X
16%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Denmark vs Portugal — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
DenmarkPortugalBoth Teams to Score
DenmarkPortugalOver/Under 2.5 Goals
DenmarkPortugalOver/Under 3.5 Goals
DenmarkPortugalFirst Half Result
DenmarkPortugalCorrect Score
DenmarkPortugal