Germany vs Serbia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Germany vs Serbia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Germany to win
Our track record
In 134 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.3% of the time (bookmakers said 81.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,617 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 680 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Our model’s pick
Germany ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.6%).
Our model’s pick
Germany 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Our model’s pick
Serbia 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 577 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.4% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Germany vs Serbia — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Germany vs Serbia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Germany–
Serbia–Winner
1 77%
BTTS**
No 60%
Correct Score
3-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Germany–Serbia–Winner
1 77%
BTTS**
No 60%
Correct Score
3-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 36% | 64% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 68% | 32% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9% | 91% | 29% | 71% |
 | 65% | 35% | 89% | 11% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 50% | 71% | 29% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
61%
X-1
18%
X-X
7%
2-2
4%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-X
2%
X-2
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
3-0
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.7%
0-0
4.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Germany vs Serbia — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SerbiaGermanyBoth Teams to Score
SerbiaGermanyOver/Under 2.5 Goals
SerbiaGermanyOver/Under 3.5 Goals
SerbiaGermanyFirst Half Result
SerbiaGermanyCorrect Score
SerbiaGermany