Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League C (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Latvia vs Montenegro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Montenegro to win
Our track record
In 3,154 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 6,074 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,909 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,386 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,264 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Latvia 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Our model’s pick
Montenegro 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Latvia vs Montenegro — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Latvia vs Montenegro. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Latvia–
Montenegro–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Latvia–Montenegro–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 39% | 61% | 73% | 27% |
 | 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
X-2
18%
X-X
15%
1-1
14%
X-1
10%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Latvia vs Montenegro — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LatviaMontenegroBoth Teams to Score
LatviaMontenegroOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LatviaMontenegroOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LatviaMontenegroFirst Half Result
LatviaMontenegroCorrect Score
LatviaMontenegro