Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Ukraine vs Northern Ireland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Ukraine to win
Our track record
In 3,154 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 3,871 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.4%).
Our model’s pick
Ukraine 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,173 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.2%).
Our model’s pick
Northern Ireland 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Ukraine vs Northern Ireland — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Ukraine vs Northern Ireland. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Ukraine–
Northern Ireland–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Ukraine–Northern Ireland–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
 | 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-X
19%
X-1
18%
2-2
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ukraine vs Northern Ireland — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
UkraineNorthern IrelandBoth Teams to Score
UkraineNorthern IrelandOver/Under 2.5 Goals
UkraineNorthern IrelandOver/Under 3.5 Goals
UkraineNorthern IrelandFirst Half Result
UkraineNorthern IrelandCorrect Score
UkraineNorthern Ireland