Wales vs Denmark Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Wales vs Denmark — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Wales to win
Our track record
In 370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,607 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,896 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,016 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Wales 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,774 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Denmark 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 125 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 48.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 65–70%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Wales vs Denmark — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wales vs Denmark. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Wales–
Denmark–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Wales–Denmark–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
 | 35% | 65% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
| 87% | 13% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
17%
X-1
16%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wales vs Denmark — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
DenmarkWalesBoth Teams to Score
DenmarkWalesOver/Under 2.5 Goals
DenmarkWalesOver/Under 3.5 Goals
DenmarkWalesFirst Half Result
DenmarkWalesCorrect Score
DenmarkWales