Portugal vs Norway Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Portugal vs Norway — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Portugal to win
Our track record
In 1,770 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,607 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,047 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).
Our model’s pick
Portugal ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 6,633 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Portugal 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,400 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Norway 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Portugal vs Norway — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Portugal vs Norway. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Portugal–
Norway–Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Portugal–Norway–Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 38% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16% | 84% | 43% | 57% |
 | 40% | 60% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32% | 86% | 14% |
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-X
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Portugal vs Norway — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PortugalNorwayBoth Teams to Score
PortugalNorwayOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PortugalNorwayOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PortugalNorwayFirst Half Result
PortugalNorwayCorrect Score
PortugalNorway