Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Netherlands vs Serbia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Netherlands to win
Our track record
In 323 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,607 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,119 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 53.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Netherlands ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 297 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.1%).
Our model’s pick
Netherlands 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,446 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Serbia 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.8% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Netherlands vs Serbia — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Netherlands vs Serbia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Netherlands–
Serbia–Winner
1 71%
BTTS**
No 60%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Netherlands–Serbia–Winner
1 71%
BTTS**
No 60%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 42% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13% | 87% | 39% | 61% |
 | 62% | 38% | 89% | 11% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63% | 37% | 81% | 19% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
54%
X-1
18%
X-X
10%
2-2
5%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-X
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Netherlands vs Serbia — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NetherlandsSerbiaBoth Teams to Score
NetherlandsSerbiaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NetherlandsSerbiaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NetherlandsSerbiaFirst Half Result
NetherlandsSerbiaCorrect Score
NetherlandsSerbia