Greece vs Germany Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Greece vs Germany — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Germany to win
Our track record
In 3,434 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,607 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,016 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Greece 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,668 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Germany 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 826 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.7% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Greece vs Germany — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Greece vs Germany. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Greece–
Germany–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Greece–Germany–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 33% | 67% | 65% | 35% |
 | 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
1-1
18%
X-2
15%
X-X
13%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Greece vs Germany — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
GermanyGreeceBoth Teams to Score
GermanyGreeceOver/Under 2.5 Goals
GermanyGreeceOver/Under 3.5 Goals
GermanyGreeceFirst Half Result
GermanyGreeceCorrect Score
GermanyGreece