Republic of Ireland vs Israel Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Republic of Ireland vs Israel — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Republic of Ireland to win
Our track record
In 3,434 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,607 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,816 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,896 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Republic of Ireland 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,774 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Israel 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Republic of Ireland vs Israel — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Republic of Ireland vs Israel. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Republic of Ireland–
Israel–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Republic of Ireland–Israel–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 52% | 48% |
 | 36% | 64% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Republic of Ireland vs Israel — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Republic of IrelandIsraelBoth Teams to Score
Republic of IrelandIsraelOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Republic of IrelandIsraelOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Republic of IrelandIsraelFirst Half Result
Republic of IrelandIsraelCorrect Score
Republic of IrelandIsrael