Romania vs Sweden Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Romania vs Sweden — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Romania to win
Our track record
In 365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,542 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,025 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
Our model’s pick
Romania ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,149 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Romania 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,815 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Sweden 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 65–70%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Romania vs Sweden — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Romania vs Sweden. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Romania–
Sweden–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Romania–Sweden–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 49% | 51% |
 | 36% | 64% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 87% | 13% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
18%
X-X
13%
2-2
11%
X-2
7%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Romania vs Sweden — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RomaniaSwedenBoth Teams to Score
RomaniaSwedenOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RomaniaSwedenOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RomaniaSwedenFirst Half Result
RomaniaSwedenCorrect Score
RomaniaSweden