Northern Ireland vs Georgia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Northern Ireland vs Georgia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Georgia to win
Our track record
In 1,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 3,069 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,624 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 4,174 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Northern Ireland 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,644 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.8% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Our model’s pick
Georgia 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,182 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Northern Ireland vs Georgia — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Northern Ireland vs Georgia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Northern Ireland–
Georgia–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Northern Ireland–Georgia–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 68% | 32% |
 | 34% | 66% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
19%
X-X
18%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Northern Ireland vs Georgia — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
GeorgiaNorthern IrelandBoth Teams to Score
GeorgiaNorthern IrelandOver/Under 2.5 Goals
GeorgiaNorthern IrelandOver/Under 3.5 Goals
GeorgiaNorthern IrelandFirst Half Result
GeorgiaNorthern IrelandCorrect Score
GeorgiaNorthern Ireland