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Brazil vs Norway

Brazil vs Norway 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

World Cup - Season 2026 Round of 16 (Knock Out)

Smash-and-grab

Norway won with fewer chances than Brazil

Brazil

1–2

Norway

2.3Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Brazil would usually take 2.1 points and Norway 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Brazil.

Brazil −2.1 pts vs chancesNorway +2.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Brazil vs Norway stats: how the match was played

World Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Brazil

Norway

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

33%

Possession

67%

The match between Brazil and Norway ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Brazil win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Brazil vs Norway — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · World Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brazil to win

Wrong

Our model 47%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,524 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.7% of the time (bookmakers said 50.7%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,446 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,862 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 4,553 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.3%).

Brazil Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brazil 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Brazil 2+ goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,032 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.

Norway Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Norway 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,357 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Brazil vs Norway 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Brazil vs Norway. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

World Cup - World

Brazil1

Norway2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

World Cup - World

Brazil1

Norway2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

147%

X25%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	63%	37%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	56%	44%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	38%	62%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	56%	44%
	38%	62%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

1-0

10.9%

2-1

9.2%

2-0

8.4%

0-1

7.9%

0-0

7.1%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

5.1%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.5%

3-0

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score