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Macarthur vs Perth Glory

Macarthur vs Perth Glory 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

A-League Men - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result

Macarthur

2–1

Perth Glory

1.5Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Macarthur would usually take 1.6 points and Perth Glory 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Macarthur.

Macarthur +1.4 pts vs chancesPerth Glory −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Macarthur vs Perth Glory stats: how the match was played

A-League Men

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Perth Glory had more than twice the shots on target

Macarthur

Perth Glory

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Macarthur and Perth Glory ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Macarthur win with 53% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Newcastle Jets – Macarthur prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Macarthur vs Perth Glory — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · A-League Men

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Macarthur to win

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,696 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,958 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Macarthur ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Macarthur Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Macarthur 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,798 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Perth Glory Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Perth Glory 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Macarthur vs Perth Glory 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Macarthur vs Perth Glory. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

A-League Men - Australia

Macarthur2

Perth Glory1

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

A-League Men - Australia

Macarthur2

Perth Glory1

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

153%

X24%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	57%	43%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	48%	52%	74%	26%	89%	11%
	40%	60%	72%	28%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	48%	52%
	40%	60%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	26%	89%	11%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

145%

X35%

220%

1st Score

160%

X6%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

17%

X-X

12%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

8.0%

1-2

6.4%

0-0

6.0%

0-1

6.0%

2-2

5.4%

3-1

5.4%

3-0

5.3%

3-2

3.5%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Macarthur vs Perth Glory — Recent Form

Macarthur have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Perth Glory have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Macarthur

Perth Glory

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Perth Glory

2/2

Macarthur

1/1

Both Teams to Score

Perth Glory

2/2

Macarthur

1/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Perth Glory

2/2

Macarthur

1/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Perth Glory

2/2

Macarthur

1/1

First Half Result

Perth Glory

0/2

Macarthur

0/1

Correct Score

Perth Glory

0/2

Macarthur

0/1

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Newcastle Jets – Macarthur prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).