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FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig 6-1 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
FC Bayern München6–1
RB LeipzigOn these chances FC Bayern München would usually take 2.7 points and RB Leipzig 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Bayern München.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig stats: how the match was played
Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Bayern München had more than twice the shots on target
FC Bayern München
RB Leipzig
17
Shots on target
4
8
Big chances
0
11
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
0
62%
Possession
38%
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München to win
CorrectOur track record
In 144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.7% of the time (bookmakers said 80.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 282 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,582 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig 6-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Bayern München6
RB Leipzig1Winner
1 76%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 60%
FC Bayern München6RB Leipzig1Winner
1 76%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 40% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9% | 91% | 26% | 74% |
| 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47% | 53% | 65% | 35% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
56%
X-1
16%
X-X
6%
2-2
6%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
1-X
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-0
9.8%
3-0
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.0%
3-1
6.0%
1-1
5.7%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Recent Form
FC Bayern München have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. RB Leipzig have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC Bayern MünchenRB LeipzigOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenBoth Teams to Score
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenFirst Half Result
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenCorrect Score
RB LeipzigFC Bayern München