Asswehly vs ES Tunis 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

CAF Champions League - Season 2026/2027 2nd Preliminary Round (Qualifying)

Asswehly vs ES Tunis stats: how the match was played

CAF Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Asswehly had more than twice the shots on target

Asswehly

ES Tunis

4

Shots on target

0

2

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

3

The match between Asswehly and ES Tunis ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an ES Tunis win at 62% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: ES Tunis – Asswehly prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Asswehly vs ES Tunis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · CAF Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ES Tunis to win

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,153 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ES Tunis ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 46%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Asswehly Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asswehly 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 391 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).

ES Tunis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ES Tunis 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Asswehly vs ES Tunis 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Asswehly vs ES Tunis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
AsswehlyAsswehly1
ES TunisES Tunis0

Winner

2 62%

BTTS*

No 62%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

118%
X20%
262%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Asswehly59%41%83%17%
ES Tunis21%79%49%51%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Asswehly94%6%98%2%
ES Tunis72%28%87%13%

1st Half

110%
X44%
246%

1st Score

120%
X9%
272%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

42%

X-2

24%

X-X

15%

1-1

5%

X-1

5%

1-X

3%

2-X

3%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

14.7%

0-2

13.1%

0-3

9.2%

1-1

8.8%

0-0

8.6%

1-2

6.8%

1-0

5.6%

1-3

3.6%

2-1

3.6%

2-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Asswehly vs ES Tunis — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

ES TunisES Tunis
0/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
0/1

Both Teams to Score

ES TunisES Tunis
1/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
1/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

ES TunisES Tunis
1/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
1/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

ES TunisES Tunis
1/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
1/1

First Half Result

ES TunisES Tunis
0/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
0/1

Correct Score

ES TunisES Tunis
0/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
0/1
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: ES Tunis – Asswehly prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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